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Indeed, the planed capacity of the Baltic NPP is too big for Kaliningrad and if I remember right a couple of years ago there was an extensions of the capacity of the gas electricity plant in Kaliningrad region. For me the idea of the operator was from the beginning to use Kaliningrad as a location for export of energy to the EU. Who will be the consumer is for me not really clear. As for the Baltic states, they depend very much on Russian gas, perhaps, they wouldn’t like to depend on Russian electricity imports. It is also the question, how compatible the Kalinigrad electricity grid is with the EU’s.
Speaking about potential consumers, it may be Finland, Germany. Maybe German companies have the interest to become co-investor of the Russian NPP or other companies from EU states. There is a chance to export yet again to the Baltic States, if the ownership of the plant is diversified and not only a Russian company but some EU’s are participating. There is a chance of interest especially from Lithuania but only if they have not build their new NPP in the meantime.
Theoretically it is possible that NPP in Kaliningrad may be an electricity supplier for Germany, but at the moment there is still a lot of scepsis in the German society on nuclear electricity (the policy may change with the new government). Nuclear energy will be the new topic of our new elected government, the nuclear industry hopes at the moment, that with the election there will be renaissance in Germany.